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South Korea and the Strait of Hormuz: The Limits of American Influence over Seoul
The United States has been pressuring South Korea to contribute to efforts aimed at restoring freedom of navigation in the Strait, which is considered strategic for the international flow of oil, natural gas, and other commodities. The Donald Trump administration has made it clear that it expects greater participation from its allies, and South Korea occupies a particularly relevant position because it is one of Asia’s largest industrial economies
CERES
Sep 148 min read


US and China Recalculate Relations: A Consultative Reading
Donald Trump's visit to China marked a transition from open confrontation to managed competition, focusing on predictability and stability. Facing the global costs of tensions, both countries seek damage control. Xi Jinping proposed a "relationship of strategic stability," prioritizing cooperation within manageable limits. For Beijing, the goal is to institutionalize mechanisms to prevent escalations, securing economic growth and investment flows.
CERES
Jun 233 min read


The New AI Cold War
The progress of companies like DeepSeek illustrates how China already acts as a direct competitor and, in some aspects, a disruptive force in the development of advanced models. By launching systems with performance comparable to Western leaders but at significantly lower costs, the company challenges one of the United States’ main structural advantages: the ability to mobilize large volumes of capital and infrastructure for innovation
CERES
Apr 284 min read
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