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South Korea and the Strait of Hormuz: The Limits of American Influence over Seoul
The United States has been pressuring South Korea to contribute to efforts aimed at restoring freedom of navigation in the Strait, which is considered strategic for the international flow of oil, natural gas, and other commodities. The Donald Trump administration has made it clear that it expects greater participation from its allies, and South Korea occupies a particularly relevant position because it is one of Asia’s largest industrial economies
CERES
13 hours ago8 min read


What Are Panda Bonds and Why Does Brazil Want to Issue Bonds in China?
Brazil has taken the first step toward issuing, for the first time, public debt securities in the Chinese financial market. Until now, Brazil's international bond issuances have been concentrated primarily in U.S. dollars and, more recently, in euros. Now, the government intends to access the Chinese capital market directly and raise funds in yuan, China's currency.
CERES
Jul 306 min read


How ASEAN Is Responding to the New World Order
This July, the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting took place in the Philippines at a time when the bloc is simultaneously facing pressure from the growing rivalry between the United States and China, Russia's increasing engagement with the region, the economic repercussions of the war involving Iran, and rising tensions in the South China Sea.
CERES
Jul 275 min read


US and China Recalculate Relations: A Consultative Reading
Donald Trump's visit to China marked a transition from open confrontation to managed competition, focusing on predictability and stability. Facing the global costs of tensions, both countries seek damage control. Xi Jinping proposed a "relationship of strategic stability," prioritizing cooperation within manageable limits. For Beijing, the goal is to institutionalize mechanisms to prevent escalations, securing economic growth and investment flows.
CERES
Jun 233 min read


From Rivalry to Cooperation: Japan and South Korea in the Emerging Regional Order
Since 2025, Japan and South Korea have been reshaping their bilateral relations by prioritizing a strategic cooperation agenda despite the persistence of historical and territorial disputes. Unlike previous periods, the current governments have sought to compartmentalize sensitive issues, including Japan’s colonial legacy, wartime compensation, and the Dokdo/Takeshima islands dispute, preventing these disagreements from overshadowing cooperation in areas of shared interest.
CERES
Jun 186 min read


The New AI Cold War
The progress of companies like DeepSeek illustrates how China already acts as a direct competitor and, in some aspects, a disruptive force in the development of advanced models. By launching systems with performance comparable to Western leaders but at significantly lower costs, the company challenges one of the United States’ main structural advantages: the ability to mobilize large volumes of capital and infrastructure for innovation
CERES
Apr 284 min read


The Globalization Myth
For decades, globalization was conceived as one of the main drivers of positive transformation in the international system. The prevailing belief among academics and policymakers was that the intensification of flows of goods, services, capital, and people would promote economic growth and greater political stability.
CERES
Apr 1010 min read


Lula’s Trip to Asia and the Brazilian Strategy of Diversification in a Multipolar World
The triple agenda in Asia and the Middle East signals precisely that Brazil does not seek to replace one pole with another, but rather to reduce the excessive concentration of its international insertion in a few partners, expanding its diplomatic, commercial, and technological room for maneuver. This is a common feature of the Lula administration’s foreign policy. Diversification, in this sense, is the formula to mitigate systemic risks
CERES
Mar 55 min read


What to expect from the India–EU alliance?
The announcement of the trade agreement between the European Union (EU) and India, sealed in January 2026, was received with the pomp reserved for major civilizational milestones. Nicknamed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi as the “mother of all agreements,” the pact outlines a free trade zone that brings together the world’s largest trading bloc and the planet’s most populous nation. Together, they represent 2 billion consumers and 25% of global GDP.
CERES
Feb 244 min read


War Theocracy: the instrumentalization of faith in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict
The role of the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) in the contemporary scenario transcends the domain of the sacred to become one of the most sophisticated pillars of Vladimir Putin’s geopolitics. To understand the depth of this phenomenon, it is necessary to dissect the symbiosis between the Patriarchate of Moscow and the Kremlin, which has transformed faith into a tool of territorial expansion and global cultural influence.
CERES
Jan 85 min read


The Military Parade that Defied the West
The Military Parade in Beijing should not be interpreted merely as a military demonstration, but as an act of strategic communication in the international arena. Xi Jinping used the event to reinforce three central messages:
(1) the historical legitimacy of China as a victor of World War II;
(2) the technological-military advances that place it in a position to rival the United States;
(3) the consolidation of a cooperation axis with countries challenging the liberal int
CERES
Nov 4, 20253 min read
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