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Global Demographic Aging: A Systemic Transformation of Economic and Geopolitical Balances
Data published by the World Health Organization shows that between 2015 and 2050, the proportion of the world's population over the age of 60 will rise from 12% to 22%. In absolute terms, this corresponds to an increase from nearly 1 billion to more than 2.1 billion individuals. Even more significant is the fact that, since 2020, people over 60 have outnumbered children under five, marking a historic inversion of the age pyramid.
CERES
Jun 308 min read


Ten Years After Brexit: Keir Starmer's Resignation or the Exhaustion of the British Model?
Keir Starmer's resignation on the eve of Brexit's tenth anniversary symbolizes the climax of a turbulent decade for the UK. The 2016 vote promised sovereignty and national rebirth under "Take Back Control." Ten years later, while legal autonomy was regained, the outcome remains ambiguous, marked by economic, social, and geopolitical impacts. Starmer's fall reflects the crisis of a nation still searching for its strategic identity in a post-Brexit world.
CERES
Jun 2412 min read


US and China Recalculate Relations: A Consultative Reading
Donald Trump's visit to China marked a transition from open confrontation to managed competition, focusing on predictability and stability. Facing the global costs of tensions, both countries seek damage control. Xi Jinping proposed a "relationship of strategic stability," prioritizing cooperation within manageable limits. For Beijing, the goal is to institutionalize mechanisms to prevent escalations, securing economic growth and investment flows.
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Jun 233 min read


Who Won the War? The Construction of a False American Narrative in the War Against Iran
Donald Trump announced an Iran peace deal at the G7, sold domestically as a strategic win for the elections. However, concrete results contradict this narrative: Iran maintained its nuclear capacity and control of the Strait of Hormuz, while the regime was strengthened by nationalism. Gulf allies pulled back, Israel became isolated, and the US reaped only a discursive triumph for the domestic public, while the actual geopolitical balance changed very little.
CERES
Jun 195 min read
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