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The Strait of Hormuz Conflict Directly Impacts the Global Economy —Especially China
Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz Conflict Directly Impacts the Global Economy—Especially China
CERES
Apr 164 min read


The invisible cost of the wars we pretend not to see… and what they will truly cost us…
Contemporary geopolitics often seems to orbit around the statements and impulses of figures such as Donald Trump, whose relationship with institutional predictability has always been, at best, fragile. When decisions with global impact are made without coordination, without consultation, or even in contradiction with specialists — such as his former counterterrorism chief — the international system ceases to operate on rules and begins to react to impulses.
CERES
Mar 314 min read


Between Narratives, Sovereignty, and Contradictions: The War that Exposes the Limits of the International System
The escalation in the Middle East reveals not only a regional conflict, but a structural crisis of the international system, marked by internal fractures in the United States, strategic divergences in Europe, economic contradictions, and the weakening of International Law, demonstrating that power and interests prevail over norms and traditional alliances.
CERES
Mar 195 min read


Energy: The War in Iran Threatens Europe’s Energy Transition
The war in the Middle East is occurring at a decisive moment, when the European Union faces growing internal criticism of its climate policies. This is reflected in calls from national governments and industry leaders to increase pressure on Europe’s emissions trading system, or even to reduce carbon emission targets for new vehicles. Thus, the rise in oil and gas prices since the beginning of the war against Iran on February 28, 2026 represents a significant risk to the prog
CERES
Mar 174 min read


Lula’s Trip to Asia and the Brazilian Strategy of Diversification in a Multipolar World
The triple agenda in Asia and the Middle East signals precisely that Brazil does not seek to replace one pole with another, but rather to reduce the excessive concentration of its international insertion in a few partners, expanding its diplomatic, commercial, and technological room for maneuver. This is a common feature of the Lula administration’s foreign policy. Diversification, in this sense, is the formula to mitigate systemic risks
CERES
Mar 55 min read


Africa–Asia: Growth Dynamics and Geoeconomic Recomposition
For several decades, the global development imaginary has been consolidated into a rigid dichotomy: Asia as the engine of world growth and Africa as a marginal continent within the international economic system. This narrative, widely reproduced in political, media, and academic discourse, fails to capture the complexity and heterogeneity of African trajectories.
CERES
Feb 268 min read


War Theocracy: the instrumentalization of faith in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict
The role of the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) in the contemporary scenario transcends the domain of the sacred to become one of the most sophisticated pillars of Vladimir Putin’s geopolitics. To understand the depth of this phenomenon, it is necessary to dissect the symbiosis between the Patriarchate of Moscow and the Kremlin, which has transformed faith into a tool of territorial expansion and global cultural influence.
CERES
Jan 85 min read


Handpicked Victims: Silenced Genocides and the Hypocrisy of the Global Order
In today’s global landscape, human tragedies are often narrated selectively. Lives from “distant” countries are usually left out of media and political focus, as philosopher Judith Butler pointed out when reflecting on the unequal attribution of “grievability” to victims. Only those who fit the dominant framework—“Western,” Christian, or strategically useful lives—are presented as worthy of compassion, while other deaths remain silenced.
CERES
Jul 1, 20253 min read


Trump’s Attack on Iran and the Coloniality of the International System
On June 22, 2025, the United States, under the leadership of Donald Trump, launched direct attacks on three major Iranian nuclear facilities — Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The American president described the offensive as a "spectacular success," claiming that the targets were “completely obliterated.” This action represents a critical escalation in the war between Israel and Iran, marking the direct entry of the U.S. into the conflict, and reignites deep questions about the
CERES
Jun 30, 20253 min read


USA and Iran: Nuclear Program, Oil, and the American Goal of Ending the Ayatollahs’ Regime
While rockets fall on Israel and Iran, we now see American bombs targeting the ayatollahs' regime. Meanwhile, Trump gives a speech of false conciliation, hoping the Iranian regime will completely surrender. That will not happen. For the leaders of Iran, Hamas, Israel, and the White House, war is both the beginning and the end of dialogue.
CERES
Jun 24, 20254 min read


When Force Comes Before Peace: The Price of Power in the Escalation Between the U.S., Israel, and Iran
By Júlia Saraiva
The United States’ attack on three nuclear facilities marks a turning point in contemporary international politics. This is not just an isolated episode but a move that exposes the progressive collapse of multilateral norms, the erosion of international law, and the dominance of power politics in the conduct of international relations.
CERES
Jun 23, 20256 min read


The Death of Pope Francis and His Legacy for Religious Diplomacy and Catholic Progressivism
With the recent passing of Pope Francis, the Catholic Church enters a historical turning point. As the leader of more than one billion faithful around the world, Francis marked his papacy with a notably progressive stance on issues that, for centuries, had been met with silence or denial by the ecclesiastical hierarchy. His death not only closes an era but also opens a period of uncertainty and internal disputes about the direction the Church will take
CERES
Apr 22, 20253 min read


Morocco: A Future Giant of the Continent?
The changes in the geopolitics of the African continent, with several countries distancing themselves from their former economic partners...
CERES
Jul 18, 20246 min read


Brazil - Africa: Relations for a Multipolar Future
The new multipolar order, or what is understood as the beginning of multipolarity, has as one of its characteristics new arrangements in...
CERES
Apr 30, 20244 min read
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