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The Revaluation of Ground Operations in the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict: Attrition, Personnel, and Prospects for the Front
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is going through, in 2026, a phase marked by the consolidation of a war of attrition, in which the ability to sustain military operations, replenish personnel, and exhaust the adversary’s resources has acquired increasing importance.
CERES
5 days ago16 min read


South Korea and the Strait of Hormuz: The Limits of American Influence over Seoul
The United States has been pressuring South Korea to contribute to efforts aimed at restoring freedom of navigation in the Strait, which is considered strategic for the international flow of oil, natural gas, and other commodities. The Donald Trump administration has made it clear that it expects greater participation from its allies, and South Korea occupies a particularly relevant position because it is one of Asia’s largest industrial economies
CERES
6 days ago8 min read


Data Centers, Natural Gas, and the New Energy Geopolitics
The accelerated expansion of data centers and artificial intelligence is therefore creating a specific sector with high energy demand, in which natural gas tends to occupy an increasingly strategic position. This occurs because digital infrastructures operate 24 hours a day and demand high levels of reliability, frequency stability, and power availability.
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Sep 48 min read


Artificial Intelligence, a new factor of geopolitical power
The United States and China no longer consider artificial intelligence solely as a high-value-added economic sector, but as a matter of national sovereignty, industrial competitiveness, security, and geopolitical leadership. The race for the dominance of algorithms increasingly resembles the great technological competitions of the 20th century
CERES
Jul 2810 min read


How ASEAN Is Responding to the New World Order
This July, the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting took place in the Philippines at a time when the bloc is simultaneously facing pressure from the growing rivalry between the United States and China, Russia's increasing engagement with the region, the economic repercussions of the war involving Iran, and rising tensions in the South China Sea.
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Jul 275 min read


The Diaspora: An Underutilized Strategy of French Influence
The French diaspora holds vast strategic potential that remains underutilized by the state due to a lack of geopolitical vision and a purely administrative focus. While powers like India and Israel successfully mobilize global networks to boost economics, technology, and international influence, France neglects the highly qualified human capital of its expatriates. The current challenge is to transform this scattered presence into a global power projection infrastructure in a
CERES
Jul 2411 min read


The Achievements of the Popular Front in France: Legacy, Conquests, and Current Questionings
The Popular Front occupies a unique place in French political, social, and cultural history. Rather than a simple electoral coalition bringing together the SFIO socialists, communists, and radicals around Léon Blum, it represents a moment of historical breakthrough in which the working classes achieved full political and social recognition. In just a few months, between 1936 and 1938, the Popular Front permanently transformed the relations between labor, capital, and the Stat
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Jul 2013 min read


The Karbala Narrative in the Twenty-First Century: The Political Significance of Ashura in the 2026 Conflicts in Lebanon and Iran
In addition to mourning, the ritualistic performance of Ashura (the tenth day of the month Muharam) operates through the so-called Karbala Paradigm by constantly reupdating the foundational narrative where a numerically inferior force chooses sacrifice and death over submission to an oppressive tyrant.
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Jul 1712 min read


China's Triple Monetary ArchitectureFinancial Segmentation as an Instrument of Sovereignty and Structural Power
China's sophisticated monetary engineering utilizes three layers: the onshore renminbi (CNY) for domestic stability and control, the offshore renminbi (CNH) for controlled internationalization, and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) as a bridge for external credibility. This strategic financial segmentation allows Beijing to reconcile global integration and external financing with the preservation of its sovereignty and policy autonomy, reducing vulnerabilities within the dollar-domi
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Jul 1510 min read


Belarus and Russia’s Strategy in the War in Ukraine: Strategic Value, Dilemmas, and Future Prospects
In June 2026, Belarus intensified its strategic support for Russia's war effort, expanding cooperation in military infrastructure, logistics, economy, and defense. Although Minsk continues to avoid direct troop involvement in combat, this deepening of joint actions significantly strengthens Moscow's campaign. Recent movements indicate that the country is gradually preparing to take on an even more active role in the conflict.
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Jul 149 min read


The FIFA World Cup and the Politics of Bread and Circuses: The Spectacle That Reshapes Global Attention
Historically, the United States has used Hollywood, music, universities, and sports as instruments of international projection. Yet the 2026 World Cup exposes a contradiction: while the country seeks to present itself as the host of the world’s greatest sporting spectacle, the Trump administration has intensified policies associated with hard power, particularly in the field of immigration.
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Jul 94 min read


When Force Comes Before Peace: The Price of Power in the Escalation Between the US, Israel, and Iran
The unpredictability of Trumpist foreign policy, characterized by a preference for informal channels like social media to the detriment of traditional diplomatic avenues, further aggravates international uncertainty. This pattern is not merely stylistic; it represents a profound rupture with the principles of institutional liberalism and with the US diplomatic tradition itself.
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Jul 86 min read


Geopolitics: Ukraine’s Accession to the European Union Involves Many Factors Beyond the War
Ukraine’s accession to the European Union should not be viewed merely as a political reward for its resilience but as a profound transformation of the European project itself. Ukraine’s membership has the potential to strengthen Europe in the face of the geopolitical challenges of the twenty-first century
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Jul 35 min read


The Actions of a Worn-Out Empire: Donroe Doctrine for Latin America and the Associated Instability
The so-called Donroe Doctrine, established with the reappointment of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency in 2024, set aside a posture based on caution and a certain distance from the internal politics of the countries of the Latin American region and began to act based on the so-called principle of exceptionalism, an element previously observed in U.S. foreign policy in the context of the Monroe Doctrine (formalized in 1823)
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Jul 213 min read


US and China Recalculate Relations: A Consultative Reading
Donald Trump's visit to China marked a transition from open confrontation to managed competition, focusing on predictability and stability. Facing the global costs of tensions, both countries seek damage control. Xi Jinping proposed a "relationship of strategic stability," prioritizing cooperation within manageable limits. For Beijing, the goal is to institutionalize mechanisms to prevent escalations, securing economic growth and investment flows.
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Jun 233 min read


Geopolitics: Iran Imposes a New Configuration in the Middle East
Iran is inaugurating a new chapter in Middle Eastern history following what it presents as its victory in the Strait of Hormuz war. With the announcement of an agreement aimed at ending the conflict between the United States and Iran, lifting the naval blockade, restoring safe navigation through the strait, and recovering Iranian rights allegedly restricted by previous resolutions of the United States, the UN Security Council, and the International Atomic Energy Agency, a ne
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Jun 176 min read


The Lula Government and Brazil’s Return to the International Stage
The return of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to the presidency of the Republic in 2023 represented not only an internal political shift but also an attempt to rebuild Brazil’s international insertion. After a period marked by diplomatic strain, environmental tensions, and the weakening of Brazilian multilateralism, the new government once again began advocating for a more active role in international debates on climate, development, global governance, and South–South cooperation.
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Jun 166 min read


Energy Geopolitics: Energy Crisis Hits Qatar’s Revenues
Qatar's 23% drop in oil revenues in Q1 2026 signals a structural decay in global energy after war escalated with Iran. The partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz and disruptions at Ras Laffan exposed severe international logistical vulnerabilities. More than a regional crisis, this fierce shock is poised to trigger prolonged effects on global inflation, economic growth, and political stability.
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Jun 134 min read


The Duel of Africa’s Gas Corridors: An Indicator of Euro-African Geopolitical Restructuring
The 2026 relaunch of the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP) is a major African geoeconomic milestone, akin to the AfCFTA. Once deemed unfeasible due to Sahel security issues, the project is now revived by a shifted strategic landscape: Europe's post-Ukraine war energy crisis, reshaped political balances in the Sahel, the rise of new regional powers, and intensifying global energy competition.
CERES
Jun 127 min read


Precarious Lives and International Violence: The Death of Iranian and Lebanese Children and the Framing of Contemporary War
Contemporary wars expose a contradiction that stubbornly persists in the world: even with a set of treaties and conventions designed to protect people in times of war — such as the Geneva Conventions and the Convention on the Rights of the Child — the killing of civilians still occurs frequently in military actions. In other words, the strengthening of international humanitarian law rules has not succeeded in preventing human rights from being constantly violated.
CERES
Jun 108 min read
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