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US and China Recalculate Relations: A Consultative Reading
Donald Trump's visit to China marked a transition from open confrontation to managed competition, focusing on predictability and stability. Facing the global costs of tensions, both countries seek damage control. Xi Jinping proposed a "relationship of strategic stability," prioritizing cooperation within manageable limits. For Beijing, the goal is to institutionalize mechanisms to prevent escalations, securing economic growth and investment flows.
CERES
Jun 233 min read


Who Won the War? The Construction of a False American Narrative in the War Against Iran
Donald Trump announced an Iran peace deal at the G7, sold domestically as a strategic win for the elections. However, concrete results contradict this narrative: Iran maintained its nuclear capacity and control of the Strait of Hormuz, while the regime was strengthened by nationalism. Gulf allies pulled back, Israel became isolated, and the US reaped only a discursive triumph for the domestic public, while the actual geopolitical balance changed very little.
CERES
Jun 195 min read


From Rivalry to Cooperation: Japan and South Korea in the Emerging Regional Order
Since 2025, Japan and South Korea have been reshaping their bilateral relations by prioritizing a strategic cooperation agenda despite the persistence of historical and territorial disputes. Unlike previous periods, the current governments have sought to compartmentalize sensitive issues, including Japan’s colonial legacy, wartime compensation, and the Dokdo/Takeshima islands dispute, preventing these disagreements from overshadowing cooperation in areas of shared interest.
CERES
Jun 186 min read


Geopolitics: Iran Imposes a New Configuration in the Middle East
Iran is inaugurating a new chapter in Middle Eastern history following what it presents as its victory in the Strait of Hormuz war. With the announcement of an agreement aimed at ending the conflict between the United States and Iran, lifting the naval blockade, restoring safe navigation through the strait, and recovering Iranian rights allegedly restricted by previous resolutions of the United States, the UN Security Council, and the International Atomic Energy Agency, a ne
CERES
Jun 176 min read
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