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Gulf Sovereign Wealth Funds Shield the Impact of the War Against Iran
Amid fears over the consequences of maritime route closures, rising energy costs, and disruptions to supply chains, Gulf sovereign wealth funds are emerging as a key tool to contain and absorb the shock, benefiting from decades of massive financial accumulation.
The countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) manage sovereign assets estimated at US$6 trillion, mainly derived from surplus oil revenues.
CERES
3 days ago4 min read


The Strait of Hormuz Conflict Directly Impacts the Global Economy —Especially China
Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz Conflict Directly Impacts the Global Economy—Especially China
CERES
Apr 164 min read


Geopolitics: Potential U.S. Setback in Iran Represents a Risk for Cuba
As the conflict in the Middle East intensifies, pressure on the White House also grows to demonstrate strength and deliver concrete results on the international stage. In contexts of war or prolonged instability, governments tend to seek political, military, or diplomatic victories that reinforce their domestic position and external credibility.
CERES
Mar 244 min read


Energy: The War in Iran Threatens Europe’s Energy Transition
The war in the Middle East is occurring at a decisive moment, when the European Union faces growing internal criticism of its climate policies. This is reflected in calls from national governments and industry leaders to increase pressure on Europe’s emissions trading system, or even to reduce carbon emission targets for new vehicles. Thus, the rise in oil and gas prices since the beginning of the war against Iran on February 28, 2026 represents a significant risk to the prog
CERES
Mar 174 min read


Geopolitics: The Gulf States Have Become a Battlefield
A few years ago, despite the region’s typical geopolitical uncertainties, the Gulf seemed to be merely a narrow passage between two powers, paying the price for alliances forged over decades and discovering that geography, when lent to wars, does not belong solely to its people.
CERES
Mar 33 min read


Energy: The European Union and the United States and Global Agreements to Secure Critical Mineral Supply Chains
esde que o presidente Trump retornou à Casa Branca em janeiro de 2025, a ênfase nos minerais críticos como ponto de pressão de segurança nacional cresceu exponencialmente. Houve várias iniciativas da Casa Branca e legislativas destinadas a fortalecer a segurança econômica e nacional dos EUA nessa área – animadas pelos lemas de desregulamentação, investimento e financiamento.
CERES
Feb 194 min read


Geopolitics: France and Germany and Their Divergent Approaches to Achieving Energy Security
This reconfiguration has strengthened strategic convergence with Washington, but it has also exposed internal divergences between France and Germany: while Paris advocates greater European strategic autonomy, Berlin tends to prioritize the solidity of a bond that ensures greater energy security. Thus, by exploiting these asymmetries, the United States preserves its centrality in Europe’s security architecture and maintains significant capacity to influence the bloc’s geopolit
CERES
Feb 105 min read


Syria and the Challenges of the Energy Sector
When examining the development of Syria’s oil industry, it is essential to consider geopolitical factors, particularly given the country’s strategic location between the vast oil fields of Iraq and the Gulf countries. This geographical positioning grants Syria a potentially central role in the construction of transnational pipelines capable of transporting hydrocarbons to the eastern coast of the Mediterranean Sea
CERES
Jan 274 min read


Geopolitics: an obstacle to advances in the energy transition
The mismatch between the idea of an energy transition and outdated infrastructure, unequal investment, and strong dependence on fossil fuels constitute major barriers to achieving a sustainable global energy system in the short term. Below, we highlight some of the key limitations to sustainability.
CERES
Nov 20, 20254 min read


USA and Iran: Nuclear Program, Oil, and the American Goal of Ending the Ayatollahs’ Regime
While rockets fall on Israel and Iran, we now see American bombs targeting the ayatollahs' regime. Meanwhile, Trump gives a speech of false conciliation, hoping the Iranian regime will completely surrender. That will not happen. For the leaders of Iran, Hamas, Israel, and the White House, war is both the beginning and the end of dialogue.
CERES
Jun 24, 20254 min read
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