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Democracy Is Dying. We Just Haven't Realized It Yet.
Democracy will not die at the hands of a general, nor will it be buried by a classic coup d'état. There will be no tanks in the streets, no abrupt shutdown of parliaments, no immediate suspension of constitutions. Twenty-first-century democracy dies in a much more subtle, sophisticated, and therefore far more dangerous way: it dies at the hands of its own citizens, who are convinced they are defending it.
CERES
Jul 214 min read


Belarus and Russia’s Strategy in the War in Ukraine: Strategic Value, Dilemmas, and Future Prospects
In June 2026, Belarus intensified its strategic support for Russia's war effort, expanding cooperation in military infrastructure, logistics, economy, and defense. Although Minsk continues to avoid direct troop involvement in combat, this deepening of joint actions significantly strengthens Moscow's campaign. Recent movements indicate that the country is gradually preparing to take on an even more active role in the conflict.
CERES
Jul 149 min read


Geopolitics: Ukraine’s Accession to the European Union Involves Many Factors Beyond the War
Ukraine’s accession to the European Union should not be viewed merely as a political reward for its resilience but as a profound transformation of the European project itself. Ukraine’s membership has the potential to strengthen Europe in the face of the geopolitical challenges of the twenty-first century
CERES
Jul 35 min read


The Actions of a Worn-Out Empire: Donroe Doctrine for Latin America and the Associated Instability
The so-called Donroe Doctrine, established with the reappointment of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency in 2024, set aside a posture based on caution and a certain distance from the internal politics of the countries of the Latin American region and began to act based on the so-called principle of exceptionalism, an element previously observed in U.S. foreign policy in the context of the Monroe Doctrine (formalized in 1823)
CERES
Jul 213 min read


Global Demographic Aging: A Systemic Transformation of Economic and Geopolitical Balances
Data published by the World Health Organization shows that between 2015 and 2050, the proportion of the world's population over the age of 60 will rise from 12% to 22%. In absolute terms, this corresponds to an increase from nearly 1 billion to more than 2.1 billion individuals. Even more significant is the fact that, since 2020, people over 60 have outnumbered children under five, marking a historic inversion of the age pyramid.
CERES
Jun 308 min read


Geopolitics: Iran Imposes a New Configuration in the Middle East
Iran is inaugurating a new chapter in Middle Eastern history following what it presents as its victory in the Strait of Hormuz war. With the announcement of an agreement aimed at ending the conflict between the United States and Iran, lifting the naval blockade, restoring safe navigation through the strait, and recovering Iranian rights allegedly restricted by previous resolutions of the United States, the UN Security Council, and the International Atomic Energy Agency, a ne
CERES
Jun 176 min read


The Lula Government and Brazil’s Return to the International Stage
The return of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to the presidency of the Republic in 2023 represented not only an internal political shift but also an attempt to rebuild Brazil’s international insertion. After a period marked by diplomatic strain, environmental tensions, and the weakening of Brazilian multilateralism, the new government once again began advocating for a more active role in international debates on climate, development, global governance, and South–South cooperation.
CERES
Jun 166 min read


The Globalization Myth
For decades, globalization was conceived as one of the main drivers of positive transformation in the international system. The prevailing belief among academics and policymakers was that the intensification of flows of goods, services, capital, and people would promote economic growth and greater political stability.
CERES
Apr 1010 min read


The Strait of Hormuz and the Politics of Armed Interdependence: Energy, Geopolitics, and Power in the Escalation among the United States, Israel, and Iran
The recent military escalation involving the United States, Israel, and Iran around the Strait of Hormuz has once again placed one of the most critical energy chokepoints of the global system at the center of international politics. While public debate often highlights the most visible aspects of the crisis—attacks on vessels, drones, and naval operations—the strategic importance of the strait goes far beyond its immediate military dimension.
CERES
Mar 185 min read


Energy: The War in Iran Threatens Europe’s Energy Transition
The war in the Middle East is occurring at a decisive moment, when the European Union faces growing internal criticism of its climate policies. This is reflected in calls from national governments and industry leaders to increase pressure on Europe’s emissions trading system, or even to reduce carbon emission targets for new vehicles. Thus, the rise in oil and gas prices since the beginning of the war against Iran on February 28, 2026 represents a significant risk to the prog
CERES
Mar 174 min read


Bombs, Debt, and Sovereignty: The Crisis of International Order and International Law in the 21st Century
The escalation of tensions in the Middle East has once again brought to light a reality that is often overlooked in simplified narratives about international politics: the global system functions less like a tribunal and more like a permanent arena of competition among interests, capabilities, and the structural limits of power. The recent increase in the intensity of the conflict in the region already involves, directly or indirectly, more than eleven countries, transforming
CERES
Mar 68 min read
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