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What Are Panda Bonds and Why Does Brazil Want to Issue Bonds in China?
Brazil has taken the first step toward issuing, for the first time, public debt securities in the Chinese financial market. Until now, Brazil's international bond issuances have been concentrated primarily in U.S. dollars and, more recently, in euros. Now, the government intends to access the Chinese capital market directly and raise funds in yuan, China's currency.
CERES
3 days ago6 min read


Artificial Intelligence, a new factor of geopolitical power
The United States and China no longer consider artificial intelligence solely as a high-value-added economic sector, but as a matter of national sovereignty, industrial competitiveness, security, and geopolitical leadership. The race for the dominance of algorithms increasingly resembles the great technological competitions of the 20th century
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5 days ago10 min read


Democracy Is Dying. We Just Haven't Realized It Yet.
Democracy will not die at the hands of a general, nor will it be buried by a classic coup d'état. There will be no tanks in the streets, no abrupt shutdown of parliaments, no immediate suspension of constitutions. Twenty-first-century democracy dies in a much more subtle, sophisticated, and therefore far more dangerous way: it dies at the hands of its own citizens, who are convinced they are defending it.
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Jul 214 min read


The Achievements of the Popular Front in France: Legacy, Conquests, and Current Questionings
The Popular Front occupies a unique place in French political, social, and cultural history. Rather than a simple electoral coalition bringing together the SFIO socialists, communists, and radicals around Léon Blum, it represents a moment of historical breakthrough in which the working classes achieved full political and social recognition. In just a few months, between 1936 and 1938, the Popular Front permanently transformed the relations between labor, capital, and the Stat
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Jul 2013 min read


The Karbala Narrative in the Twenty-First Century: The Political Significance of Ashura in the 2026 Conflicts in Lebanon and Iran
In addition to mourning, the ritualistic performance of Ashura (the tenth day of the month Muharam) operates through the so-called Karbala Paradigm by constantly reupdating the foundational narrative where a numerically inferior force chooses sacrifice and death over submission to an oppressive tyrant.
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Jul 1712 min read


China's Triple Monetary ArchitectureFinancial Segmentation as an Instrument of Sovereignty and Structural Power
China's sophisticated monetary engineering utilizes three layers: the onshore renminbi (CNY) for domestic stability and control, the offshore renminbi (CNH) for controlled internationalization, and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) as a bridge for external credibility. This strategic financial segmentation allows Beijing to reconcile global integration and external financing with the preservation of its sovereignty and policy autonomy, reducing vulnerabilities within the dollar-domi
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Jul 1510 min read


Belarus and Russia’s Strategy in the War in Ukraine: Strategic Value, Dilemmas, and Future Prospects
In June 2026, Belarus intensified its strategic support for Russia's war effort, expanding cooperation in military infrastructure, logistics, economy, and defense. Although Minsk continues to avoid direct troop involvement in combat, this deepening of joint actions significantly strengthens Moscow's campaign. Recent movements indicate that the country is gradually preparing to take on an even more active role in the conflict.
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Jul 149 min read


When Force Comes Before Peace: The Price of Power in the Escalation Between the US, Israel, and Iran
The unpredictability of Trumpist foreign policy, characterized by a preference for informal channels like social media to the detriment of traditional diplomatic avenues, further aggravates international uncertainty. This pattern is not merely stylistic; it represents a profound rupture with the principles of institutional liberalism and with the US diplomatic tradition itself.
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Jul 86 min read


Geopolitics: Ukraine’s Accession to the European Union Involves Many Factors Beyond the War
Ukraine’s accession to the European Union should not be viewed merely as a political reward for its resilience but as a profound transformation of the European project itself. Ukraine’s membership has the potential to strengthen Europe in the face of the geopolitical challenges of the twenty-first century
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Jul 35 min read


Ten Years After Brexit: Keir Starmer's Resignation or the Exhaustion of the British Model?
Keir Starmer's resignation on the eve of Brexit's tenth anniversary symbolizes the climax of a turbulent decade for the UK. The 2016 vote promised sovereignty and national rebirth under "Take Back Control." Ten years later, while legal autonomy was regained, the outcome remains ambiguous, marked by economic, social, and geopolitical impacts. Starmer's fall reflects the crisis of a nation still searching for its strategic identity in a post-Brexit world.
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Jun 2412 min read


US and China Recalculate Relations: A Consultative Reading
Donald Trump's visit to China marked a transition from open confrontation to managed competition, focusing on predictability and stability. Facing the global costs of tensions, both countries seek damage control. Xi Jinping proposed a "relationship of strategic stability," prioritizing cooperation within manageable limits. For Beijing, the goal is to institutionalize mechanisms to prevent escalations, securing economic growth and investment flows.
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Jun 233 min read


Who Won the War? The Construction of a False American Narrative in the War Against Iran
Donald Trump announced an Iran peace deal at the G7, sold domestically as a strategic win for the elections. However, concrete results contradict this narrative: Iran maintained its nuclear capacity and control of the Strait of Hormuz, while the regime was strengthened by nationalism. Gulf allies pulled back, Israel became isolated, and the US reaped only a discursive triumph for the domestic public, while the actual geopolitical balance changed very little.
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Jun 195 min read


Geopolitics: Iran Imposes a New Configuration in the Middle East
Iran is inaugurating a new chapter in Middle Eastern history following what it presents as its victory in the Strait of Hormuz war. With the announcement of an agreement aimed at ending the conflict between the United States and Iran, lifting the naval blockade, restoring safe navigation through the strait, and recovering Iranian rights allegedly restricted by previous resolutions of the United States, the UN Security Council, and the International Atomic Energy Agency, a ne
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Jun 176 min read


The Lula Government and Brazil’s Return to the International Stage
The return of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to the presidency of the Republic in 2023 represented not only an internal political shift but also an attempt to rebuild Brazil’s international insertion. After a period marked by diplomatic strain, environmental tensions, and the weakening of Brazilian multilateralism, the new government once again began advocating for a more active role in international debates on climate, development, global governance, and South–South cooperation.
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Jun 166 min read


Energy Geopolitics: Energy Crisis Hits Qatar’s Revenues
Qatar's 23% drop in oil revenues in Q1 2026 signals a structural decay in global energy after war escalated with Iran. The partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz and disruptions at Ras Laffan exposed severe international logistical vulnerabilities. More than a regional crisis, this fierce shock is poised to trigger prolonged effects on global inflation, economic growth, and political stability.
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Jun 134 min read


The Duel of Africa’s Gas Corridors: An Indicator of Euro-African Geopolitical Restructuring
The 2026 relaunch of the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP) is a major African geoeconomic milestone, akin to the AfCFTA. Once deemed unfeasible due to Sahel security issues, the project is now revived by a shifted strategic landscape: Europe's post-Ukraine war energy crisis, reshaped political balances in the Sahel, the rise of new regional powers, and intensifying global energy competition.
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Jun 127 min read


The 2026 World Cup and the Geopolitics of Football: Soft Power, Sovereignty, Migration, and the Transformation of FIFA into a Global Political Actor
The FIFA World Cup has always transcended the boundaries of sport. Since its inception, the tournament has constituted a privileged space for the projection of power, the construction of national legitimacy, and the symbolic affirmation of great powers. Football, frequently presented as a universal language capable of uniting peoples and cultures, became throughout the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st century a strategic instrument of political, diplomatic, and ideo
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May 199 min read


European Union: Agriculture and Food on the Path to Food and Climate Security
Agriculture and food are at the center of two of the greatest strategic issues of the 21st century: global food security and climate change. The sector is no longer merely an economic activity linked to rural production; it has come to occupy a structural position in the geopolitical, energy, environmental, and social stability of today’s world
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May 115 min read


The Drastic Erasure of Palestine: Between Maps, Silence, and the Politics of Invisibility
The history of Palestine, particularly in the Gaza Strip, is being rewritten not only by bombs but also by narratives. What we are witnessing today is not merely a war—it is a multifaceted process of territorial, symbolic, and political erasure. Perhaps most alarming is that this erasure occurs simultaneously on two levels: on the ground and in global perception
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May 66 min read


Democracy without Democracy? Institutional Erosion, Polarization, and the Death of Dialogue in the 21st Century
Contemporary democracy faces a fundamental paradox: it preserves its institutional forms, yet its normative content is progressively hollowed out. The weakening of dialogue, the delegitimization of opponents, and the instrumentalization of institutions create a scenario of internal erosion that cannot be ignored.
Hatred cannot replace political dialogue.
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Apr 305 min read
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