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Shift in Posture and Strategy: China’s New Approach Toward Taiwan
In recent weeks, a meeting took place between the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the Kuomintang (KMT), one of Taiwan’s main opposition political parties.The meeting was held in Beijing and involved Chinese President Xi Jinping and the KMT’s leading figure, Cheng Li-Wun. Its focus was the resumption of dialogue between Taiwan and China. In Taiwan, the KMT positions itself as a party favorable to rapprochement with China.
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14 hours ago8 min read


Gulf Sovereign Wealth Funds Shield the Impact of the War Against Iran
Amid fears over the consequences of maritime route closures, rising energy costs, and disruptions to supply chains, Gulf sovereign wealth funds are emerging as a key tool to contain and absorb the shock, benefiting from decades of massive financial accumulation.
The countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) manage sovereign assets estimated at US$6 trillion, mainly derived from surplus oil revenues.
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3 days ago4 min read


The Strait of Hormuz Conflict Directly Impacts the Global Economy —Especially China
Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz Conflict Directly Impacts the Global Economy—Especially China
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Apr 164 min read


Political Transition in Hungary: Analysis of Viktor Orbán’s Defeat and Systemic Impacts
Recent elections in Hungary mark a significant turning point in the contemporary European political landscape. For more than a decade, Viktor Orbán consolidated a model of governance often classified in International Relations literature as an “illiberal democracy,” characterized by the centralization of power, institutional control, and recurring tensions with the normative values of the European Union (EU)
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Apr 144 min read


The Globalization Myth
For decades, globalization was conceived as one of the main drivers of positive transformation in the international system. The prevailing belief among academics and policymakers was that the intensification of flows of goods, services, capital, and people would promote economic growth and greater political stability.
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Apr 1010 min read


The invisible cost of the wars we pretend not to see… and what they will truly cost us…
Contemporary geopolitics often seems to orbit around the statements and impulses of figures such as Donald Trump, whose relationship with institutional predictability has always been, at best, fragile. When decisions with global impact are made without coordination, without consultation, or even in contradiction with specialists — such as his former counterterrorism chief — the international system ceases to operate on rules and begins to react to impulses.
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Mar 314 min read


Hegemony in Crisis: U.S. Dissatisfaction with China’s Rise
According to power transition theory, when a rising power approaches the level of a dominant power, rivalry and instability tend to increase (Organski, 1958). In turn, offensive realism argues that states seek to maximize their relative power as a way to ensure their survival in an anarchic international system (Mearsheimer, 2001).
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Mar 253 min read


Geopolitics: Potential U.S. Setback in Iran Represents a Risk for Cuba
As the conflict in the Middle East intensifies, pressure on the White House also grows to demonstrate strength and deliver concrete results on the international stage. In contexts of war or prolonged instability, governments tend to seek political, military, or diplomatic victories that reinforce their domestic position and external credibility.
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Mar 244 min read


Between Narratives, Sovereignty, and Contradictions: The War that Exposes the Limits of the International System
The escalation in the Middle East reveals not only a regional conflict, but a structural crisis of the international system, marked by internal fractures in the United States, strategic divergences in Europe, economic contradictions, and the weakening of International Law, demonstrating that power and interests prevail over norms and traditional alliances.
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Mar 195 min read


Energy: The War in Iran Threatens Europe’s Energy Transition
The war in the Middle East is occurring at a decisive moment, when the European Union faces growing internal criticism of its climate policies. This is reflected in calls from national governments and industry leaders to increase pressure on Europe’s emissions trading system, or even to reduce carbon emission targets for new vehicles. Thus, the rise in oil and gas prices since the beginning of the war against Iran on February 28, 2026 represents a significant risk to the prog
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Mar 174 min read


The German Economic Crisis and Its Implications for 2026: Structural Transformation of a European Industrial Model
Long regarded as the economic engine of Europe, the German model of the social market economy has been undergoing a phase of profound transformation since the early 2020s. The combination of a major energy shock, a rapid increase in interest rates, a slowdown in global trade, and Europe’s ecological transition is placing significant pressure on Germany’s industrial fabric.
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Mar 116 min read


Bombs, Debt, and Sovereignty: The Crisis of International Order and International Law in the 21st Century
The escalation of tensions in the Middle East has once again brought to light a reality that is often overlooked in simplified narratives about international politics: the global system functions less like a tribunal and more like a permanent arena of competition among interests, capabilities, and the structural limits of power. The recent increase in the intensity of the conflict in the region already involves, directly or indirectly, more than eleven countries, transforming
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Mar 68 min read


Lula’s Trip to Asia and the Brazilian Strategy of Diversification in a Multipolar World
The triple agenda in Asia and the Middle East signals precisely that Brazil does not seek to replace one pole with another, but rather to reduce the excessive concentration of its international insertion in a few partners, expanding its diplomatic, commercial, and technological room for maneuver. This is a common feature of the Lula administration’s foreign policy. Diversification, in this sense, is the formula to mitigate systemic risks
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Mar 55 min read


From Struggle to Politics: The Meaning of the Death of an Ayatollah
The confirmation of the death of Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, announced this Sunday (03/01/2026) by the state communication network, was followed by a series of questions in both the international and domestic arenas, mostly concerning the stability of the Iranian regime and the impact of a forced power transition on regional security—especially in light of the attacks initiated by the Persian country against U.S. bases located in countries such as the United Arab Em
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Mar 46 min read


Geopolitics: The Gulf States Have Become a Battlefield
A few years ago, despite the region’s typical geopolitical uncertainties, the Gulf seemed to be merely a narrow passage between two powers, paying the price for alliances forged over decades and discovering that geography, when lent to wars, does not belong solely to its people.
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Mar 33 min read


Africa–Asia: Growth Dynamics and Geoeconomic Recomposition
For several decades, the global development imaginary has been consolidated into a rigid dichotomy: Asia as the engine of world growth and Africa as a marginal continent within the international economic system. This narrative, widely reproduced in political, media, and academic discourse, fails to capture the complexity and heterogeneity of African trajectories.
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Feb 268 min read


What to expect from the India–EU alliance?
The announcement of the trade agreement between the European Union (EU) and India, sealed in January 2026, was received with the pomp reserved for major civilizational milestones. Nicknamed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi as the “mother of all agreements,” the pact outlines a free trade zone that brings together the world’s largest trading bloc and the planet’s most populous nation. Together, they represent 2 billion consumers and 25% of global GDP.
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Feb 244 min read


G20: Trump and the Interest in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan
The invitation extended by U.S. President Donald Trump to the leaders of Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan to attend the 2026 G20 carries a well-crafted geopolitical rationale.
The rise of Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan on the international stage reflects a central aspiration for Central Asia to be more than merely a chess piece in the game of great powers—particularly as both countries present themselves as a “bridge” between Russia and the West, and as an energy and logistics hub lin
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Jan 224 min read


War Theocracy: the instrumentalization of faith in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict
The role of the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) in the contemporary scenario transcends the domain of the sacred to become one of the most sophisticated pillars of Vladimir Putin’s geopolitics. To understand the depth of this phenomenon, it is necessary to dissect the symbiosis between the Patriarchate of Moscow and the Kremlin, which has transformed faith into a tool of territorial expansion and global cultural influence.
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Jan 85 min read


The Military Parade that Defied the West
The Military Parade in Beijing should not be interpreted merely as a military demonstration, but as an act of strategic communication in the international arena. Xi Jinping used the event to reinforce three central messages:
(1) the historical legitimacy of China as a victor of World War II;
(2) the technological-military advances that place it in a position to rival the United States;
(3) the consolidation of a cooperation axis with countries challenging the liberal int
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Nov 4, 20253 min read
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